Date

9 - 11 August 2011

Location

Colony South Hotel & Conference Center
7401 Surratts Road
Clinton, MD 20735

Goal

Identify the role of pbl and microphysical processes on the track and intensity forecast skills of the operational hurricane models – what we know/don’t know currently and how we can improve them.

Questions to be answered:

     1. Are the current PBL schemes used in the hurricane models are appropriate
         to hurricane situations, such as high wind shear, moist adiabatically neutral
         environment?

     2. If inappropriate, what kind of scheme is good and why? (e.g. the non-local
         PBL used in HWRF and GFDL models tends to have too tall PBL and too
         diffusive compare to observation)

     3. Are roll-vortices in a highly sheared hurricane boundary layer playing an
         important role? Is worth to investigate?

     4. Do microphysical processes play vital role in hurricane track and intensity?

     5. Do we need higher-moment MP scheme in order to get the realistic
         simulation of hurricanes? What are the pros and cons for higher moment
         and lower moment schemes?

     6. Is it worth to use bin-microphysics schemes in order to calibrate the bulk-
         microphysics scheme?

Contacts

Young Kwon (Young.Kwon@noaa.gov) Chair
Pam Johnson (johnsonp@ucar.edu) Logistics

Agenda

Tuesday, August 9

        9:00       Welcoming Remarks - R. Gall/W. Lapenta
        9:10       Workshop Introduction - Y. Kwon

 9:20-10:20     First Session: Boundary layer parameterization in operational
                      models (Y.Kwon)

        9:20       Overview of the PBL schemes in hurricane models (David Nolan)
        9:50       NRL TC-COAMPS (J. Doyle/Y. Jin)
      10:00       HWRF/GFDL model PBL scheme (J. Han)
      10:10       NCAR AHW (J. Dudhia)

      10:20       Morning Break

10:50-12:30   Second Session: Boundary layer parameterization discussion
                     (D. Nolan & M. Bender)
                     - What’s the appropriate approach to improve hurricane PBL
                        prediction

      12:30       Lunch

13:30-14:30   Third Session: Boundary layer parameterization in research
                      point of view (F. Marks)

      13:30       Jun Zhang - On hurricane boundary layer parameterizations:
                      Lessons learned from observations
      13:45       Ralph Foster - Developing a Parameterization of TCBL roll Vortices
      14:00       SS Park - A Unified Convection Scheme: ‘UNICON’
      14:15       Gopal/JW Bao - Evaluation of the HWRF Model via Comparing
                      with the ARW Model

      14:30       Afternoon Break

15:00-17:30   Fourth Session: Discussions on PBL (R. Foster & I. Ginis)
                     - What have we learnt?
                     - How to improve PBL/convection parameterization in hurricanes?

      17:30       Adjourn

Wednesday, August 10

9:00-10:00     First session: Microphysics schemes in the operational
                      hurricane models (R. Fovell)

        9:00       Brad Ferrier – Microphysics HFIP Physics Workshop
        9:30       EMC/GFDL (E. Aligo) - Ferrier Microphysics in NCEP Operational
                      Hurricane Models
        9:40       NRL (J. Doyle/R. Hodur) - Evaluating Microphysics Schemes in
                      COAMPS®-TC
        9:50       NCAR (J. Dudhia) - HFIP Physics in AHWPart 2

      10:00       Morning Break

10:30-12:00   Second Session: Discussion on operational microphysical
                      scheme (B. Ferrier & S. Braun)

      10:30      Summary of the Mesoscale Physics Workshop (Ferrier)

      12:00       Lunch

13:00-14:30   Third Session: Microphysics schemes in the research aspect
                      (J. Doyle)

      13:00       Greg Thompson – Microphysics
      13:30       Scott Braun - Structure of a winter precipitation system as
                      seen by satellite, ground-based radar, and a WRF simulation
      13:45       Alexander Khain - SIMULTATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS
                      and Weather Forecasts
      14:00       Robert Fovell - Model physics influence on hurricane track,
                      structure (& intensity)
      14:15       Svetla Hristova-Veleva - Impact of microphysical parameterizations
                      on the structure and intensity of simulated hurricanes: Using
                      satellite data to determine the parameterizations that produce
                      most realistic storms

      14:30       Afternoon Break

15:00-17:30   Fourth Session: Discussion (R. Fovell & G. Thompson)

      17:30       Adjourn

Thursday, August 11

 9:00-10:30    Discussions on the action items: (V. Tallapragada & W. Lapenta)

        9:00       Collaboration between research and operation (Ligia Bernardet)
        9:30       Discussion

                     1. How to proceed physics development in hurricane model
                     2. The role of HFIP regional modeling team
                     3. How to facilitate research and operation sectors

      10:30       Morning Break

11:00-12:00   Plan for the possible next year’s workshop (R. Gall & Y. Kwon)

      12:00       Adjourn

Recordings

Tuesday, 9 August - Fourth Session: Discussions on PBL (R. Foster & I. Ginis)

Wednesday, 10 August

Thursday, 11 August

Summary and Action Items

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